Hindsight bias – BBC Radio 4

Human Zoo is an excellent series about psychology on BBC Radio 4, hosted by Michael Blastland and Timandra Harkness, and featuring resident expert Prof Nick Chater, one of the top Judgment and Decision Making researchers in the UK. This week’s program is a great primer on the phenomenon of hindsight bias, where our judgments on the likelihood of something happening differ once the event has occurred. Luke is interviewed in the middle section of the show talking about the relevance of this effect to gambling behaviour.